Capital Movements and Economic Development by John H. Adler (eds.)

By John H. Adler (eds.)

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J 5oo ] 0 ; _g -500~ ~ 2: ' \ Changes in Net Domestic Capital 'Formation (left scale) 12 UNITED STATES "'c:0 ~ Changes in Net Migration (right scale) ~--~~~~~~~~--------------~-2 From preceding overlapping decade to: f875 1880 1885 1890 1895 1900 1905 -&4 -89 -94 ·99 -04 -09 -14 FIG. 1 (3) The expected growth of sales in the export sector in a given period depends on the marginal efficiency of investment in the domestic capital-formation sector of the other country in the same period. (4) There is an inter-temporal relation between the output capacity of the export sector in a period and the rate of growth of investment 21 Capital Movements and Economic Development in the domestic capital-formation sector of that country.

J As soon as we regard the individual nations as regions comprising an aggregate and we ask what are the conditions under which the rate of growth of income in this aggregate can be maximized over time, there is no reason to expect each of the parts to pass through identical and simultaneous phases according to a theory of a closed system. Secular growth entails internal shifts within the aggregate via international factor movements ; the expansion of the whole is likely to express itself through disharmonious rates of growth in the parts.

206-223, 259-270. 5 Imlah, op. , p. 53. 4 Thomas- International Capital Movements to 1913 Heston, in a penetrating review of the whole subject, have shown that many difficulties still remain unsolved. 1 Given the primary data available, it is an open question whether a more accurate series can be attained. As we go back through the nineteenth century from 1870 the difficulties of statistical estimation becomes more numerous. An outstanding work on British capital exports in that period is that of Leland H.

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